Decision intelligence · market and customer simulation

Simulatebefore youdecide.

Test what to build, who to sell to and which market to enter — before the decision is made.

TÜBİTAK-backed R&D · KVKK / GDPR addendum

personalitic · run S3-284704 / 09 · running
Decision question

Who should we sell this product to in Germany?

01Target parsingDE
02Company discovery247
03Pre-screening82
04Web profiling20
05Product match·
06Live signals·
07Persona simulation·
08Fit analysis·
09Decision briefing·
Funnel
Discovery247
Screening82
Deep analysis20
Cohort25
Above threshold3
Recommendation

Packaging manufacturer · DE-04

85 / 100 fit · contact first

Example run. Not a measured result.

412 real-world signals · 25 synthetic personas · 3 scenarios · 1 decision

Prospect discovery and simulation

From thousands of companies to the ones worth selling to.

01Target parsingDE
02Company discovery247
03Pre-screening82
04Web profiling20
05Product match4
06Live signals5
07Persona simulation25
08Fit analysis85
09Decision briefing3

Example run. The numbers show how a run is assembled, not a measured outcome.

Prospect discovery and simulation · example run

01 — TARGET PARSING

It works out what you sell and who you are looking for.

DE · food packaging

Country, sector vocabulary, buyer profile and the end-customer clue are parsed apart.

02 — COMPANY DISCOVERY

It finds the prospects that exist in the market.

247 companies

Real companies are found across company, sector, web and other corporate data sources.

03 — PRE-SCREENING

It focuses on the strongest candidates.

82 left

Companies weakly related to your target are dropped; strong candidates go to deep analysis.

04 — WEB PROFILING

It gets to know each company more closely.

20 profiles

The website, product portfolio, field of activity and current company signals are analysed.

05 — PRODUCT MATCH

Does your product genuinely overlap with their business?

4 matches

The commercial fit between your portfolio and the company’s current products and activities is analysed.

06 — LIVE SIGNALS

Each company is read together with real-world signals.

5 sources

News, economy, foreign trade, trends and seasonality all enter the same analysis.

07 — PERSONA SIMULATION

The end customer’s likely reaction is simulated.

25 personas

The effect of current market conditions on synthetic consumer profiles is analysed.

08 — FIT ANALYSIS

Each company’s sales potential is scored on several axes.

85 / 100

Firmographics, product fit, demand signal and reachability, each on its own.

09 — DECISION BRIEFING

The analysis turns into a sales action.

3 above threshold

Priority company, decision-maker profile, timing and a personalised message draft are delivered together.

Example run. Not a measured outcome.

Strategic questions

One engine. Five decisions.

Prospect simulation

Path to the decision

CompaniesSignalsPersonasPriority account

Future trend and product opportunity

Path to the decision

SignalsNeedsPersonasProduct opportunity

Portfolio expansion

Path to the decision

AccountCatalogueContextExpansion offer

Demand at the end of the chain

Path to the decision

ProductDownstream buyersPersonasDemand call

Market entry

Path to the decision

MarketsDemandCompetitionMarket call

From data to simulation

Two realities. One decision.

Observed · Real-world dataTrade flowNewsRegulationCompany sitesEconomy
DECISIONReal data meets possible outcomes here.You always know what is observed, what is inferred and what is simulated.
Simulated · Possible futuresPersonasScenariosReactionsAlternativesOutcomes

Synthetic personas are not real people or survey respondents; they are artificial profiles built to simulate how behaviour might shift under different conditions.

Question — German food packaging, 12 months

Prototype a mono-material recyclable food packaging.

Opportunity78 / 100Inferred
Evidence24-month import seriesUN Comtrade
Cohort25 synthetic buyersSimulated
WindowFour quartersInferred
What could change this decision?
  • Asian capacity could return and reset the price.
  • The recyclability premium is simulated, not measured.
  • Two of nine signal sources returned no data.

Example scenario. Not a measured outcome.

Weighted futures

Recyclability premium holds62
Price competition returns25
Category stalls13

These are scenario weights, not calibrated probabilities.

Future trends and product opportunities

From today’s signals to tomorrow’s product opportunities.

01Scope parsing12 mo
02Signal archive412
03Trend density6
04Demand seriesHS 3923
05Driver sweep8
06Future synthesisUp
07Product opportunities4
08Hypothesis validation25
09Strategic verdict78

Example run. The numbers show how a run is assembled, not a measured outcome.

Future trends and product opportunities · example run

01 — SCOPE PARSING

First it defines which future we are looking at.

DE · 12 months

Horizon of 3, 6, 9 or 12 months. Segment B2B, B2C or a custom definition.

02 — SIGNAL ARCHIVE

It gathers hundreds of real-world signals.

412 signals

News, regulation, foreign trade, economy and technology sources are swept together while source independence is preserved.

03 — TREND DENSITY

Not the strength of the trend — the density of the evidence.

6 developments

A trend’s lifecycle stage is derived from measurable signal density over time, not from the model’s opinion.

04 — DEMAND SERIES

Customs declarations, not inference.

HS 3923 · imports

Real trade data measures the direction and change of demand; periods with no data are never filled in with estimates.

05 — DRIVER SWEEP

Eight fundamental forces that could move demand are swept together.

8 / 8 swept

Regulation, demand, cost, competition, technology, trade policy, consumer and capital effects are weighed with both supporting and contradicting evidence.

06 — FUTURE SYNTHESIS

Not a single forecast — evidence-backed possible directions.

Up · medium confidence

Every future inference shows its direction, confidence level, supporting signals, counter-evidence and the conditions that would invalidate it.

07 — PRODUCT OPPORTUNITIES

There is no single leap from signal to product.

4 opportunities

The emerging change comes first, then the need it creates and the product requirement; only opportunities your production capability supports are kept.

08 — HYPOTHESIS VALIDATION

Personas read the product, not the news.

21 / 25 measured

The product hypothesis is tested on synthetic personas from identical starting conditions; behaviour change is measured, real purchase intent is never claimed.

09 — STRATEGIC VERDICT

The decision is built in code, not asked of the model.

Prototype · 78

The strategic call is never left to model output alone; measured evidence, simulation results and explicit decision rules are weighed together.

Example run. Not a measured outcome.

Pricing

Pricing fits your work. The credit table is public.

Discovery · free for 14 days 200 credits · 10 live personas
Start free

Pricing is shared as a quote.

Your usage volume, user count and data-residency needs set the price. One call is enough for a firm quote.

Get a quote
S1 · Decision-maker simulation
30 credits
S2 · Demand simulation
80 credits
Cohort generation (50 personas)
100 credits
Company discovery (≈25 candidates)
10 credits
Live persona daily tick
0 credits
Failed run
0 credits

Enterprise

For decisions that carry weight.

Tenant isolation

Every record inside its own organisation.

Roles and permissions

Access is granted by capability.

Audit trail

Every run, every source on the record.

Single-tenant / on-premise

Installed on your own infrastructure.

SSO and RBAC

Your corporate identity provider.

KVKK / GDPR addendum

TR / EU data residency.

Is a synthetic persona real customer data?

No. It is a model construct; it is not a real person, not a survey respondent, and no answer ever comes from a human.

How accurate are the results?

A simulation is a scenario, not a measurement. We claim no accuracy percentage; we give you the source of every claim, its epistemic type, and what argues against the recommendation.

Where is our data held?

Every record is scoped to its own organisation. At the enterprise tier we offer TR or EU data residency, single-tenant deployment and installation on your own infrastructure.

What happens when credits run out?

You buy a credit top-up; the plan is never auto-upgraded. On a failed run the reserved credit is refunded automatically.

Before you decide in the real world,
simulate it in Personalitic.

hello@personalitic.com

hello@personalitic.com

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